Scientists have detected a comet 140 meters in diameter that is due for a
fly-by in 2040. There is an outside chance that it could collide with Earth.
The giant rock, known as AG5, has an elliptical orbit that will bring it
within striking distance of our planet in 23 years. According to researchers the
comet could be diverted towards Earth by a gravitational keyhole – an area of
space subject to the gravitational pull of surrounding planets.
Although the chances are slim, the possibility of impact is a little too
close for comfort.
“In 2012, AG5 is the object which currently has the highest chance of
impacting the Earth in 2040. However, we have only observed it for about half an
orbit, thus the confidence in these calculations is still not very high,"
said Detlef Koschny of the European Space Agency’s Solar System Missions
Division.
NASA has calculated that AG5 has a one in 625 chance of striking Earth in
2040.
Scientists at the 49th session of the Scientific and Technical Subcommittee
of the United Nations Committee on the Peaceful Uses of Outer Space in Vienna
are taking the threat in all earnest and have even begun to draw up possible
deflection scenarios.
They are using comet AG5 as a “desktop exercise” for the development of
technologies to deflect asteroids and meteorites that stray too close to our
planet. It is thought scientists will be able to better gauge the course of the
comet in 2013 as it will be observable from the ground, but until then they will
be keeping a close eye on the celestial
giant.

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